Private Equity Deals Decline
Private Equity Deals Decline to Five Year Low

Private equity deals have reached a new indicator of the troubled private equity industry. Along with the shaky market, private equity firms have had to persuade wary investors to join funds and maintain struggling portfolio companies. According to
Thomson Reuters, global private equity activity fell to a five year low of $188.7 billion in 2008. This is a 72% decline from 2007, revealing just how troubled the private equity market may be.
Deals DeclineBuyout deals have especially declined, accounting for only 7% of all Mergers and Acquisitions volume. This a distinct change from the private equity giants that executed mega-deals only a few years ago (peaking at 20.6% of M&A in 2006) and it is the lowest percentage since 2001. Additionally, many deals that were put into motion before the financial crisis are now being put aside or canceled and some private investors are fighting to back out of the deal.
All this has translated into sagging public investment in private equity firms, like the Blackstone Group which is trading about 1/5 of the price of its IPO of $31. It seems that other private equity firms considering a initial public offering have taken notice of the poor market response, as KKR and Apollo Management have stalled their move to the public.
With significantly less leverage available (which firms have used to finance large deals in the past) it seems that it will be a while before private equity firms are executing multi-billion dollar deals like earlier in the decade. Although America maintained its superior deal volume to Europe but only by a slight margin. The U.S. accounted for 42.4% of buyout deals while Europe trailed by only 0.4%. The finance industry led the United States in private equity activity possibly hoping to profit from struggling companies. Energy and power were the most popular investment area with 17% of private equity investments.
Keeping ClientsPerhaps the biggest challenge to private equity firms is keeping their clients and making sure that they are confident in investing with the firm. This is especially important for the biggest clients like pension funds and endowments which may be more skittish about investing in the alternative areas like private equity or hedge funds. Especially after some endowments appear to have been burned this year (see
endowments and private equity). As University of Chicago finance professor Steven Kaplan comments "The question is, how many limited partners will continue providing money? Historically, in markets like this they cut back, and it's precisely the time they shouldn't." Private equity firms are struggling to maintain their investors, as Reuters shows:
Four out of five U.S. investors and nearly two-thirds of investors in the UK would refuse to re-invest if they felt funds had underperformed, diverged from their core focus, or lost some key members of staff, according to a recent report from secondary private equity asset specialist Coller Capital.
Sale of exposure to private equity funds has risen in the so-called secondary market as the years of high returns end. Universities such as Harvard are among those trying to sell private equity assets, sources have told Reuters.
David de Weese, partner at secondary market specialist Paul Capital, estimates that $130 billion to $140 billion of private equity will available for sale by institutional investors globally during the next two years, and that supply will continue to significantly outstrip demand in 2009.
But improvement may lie down the road, with funds invested during the coming year expected to do better.
As for the future for private equity, Douglas Warner, a senior member of Weil, Gotshal & Manges LLP's private equity practice predicts, "I think we will see reduced private equity activity in 2009, other than transactions such as PIPEs that don't require so much leverage. I don't think the debt markets will come back immediately."
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Link to This Resource: Private Equity Deals Report
http://privateequityblogger.com/2008/12/private-equity-deals-report.html